Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
—
Sardarapat — Van, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Sardarapat
1.9DDLLW
Van
1.6LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%23%22%
Sardarapat55%Draw23%Van22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sardarapat1.81—
XDraw4.30—
2Van4.63—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSardarapatVanCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners11.76.79.2
Cards1.00.31.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SardarapatVan
Sardarapat 55%, FK Van 22%. The safest is “Sardarapat or draw” at 77%.
Sardarapat 55%Draw 23%FK Van 22%
1st half
46 · 36 · 18
2nd half
35 · 36 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sardarapat
- awayCSKA Yerevan1:1
- homeAlashkert1:1
- homePyunik2:4
- awayShirak0:2
- homeGandzasar3:1
Van
- awayArtsakh0:2
- homeCSKA Yerevan2:1
- awayAlashkert0:4
- homeShirak0:4
- homeGandzasar1:1
Head to head
- 07/31/26Armenian Premier League4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184
Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810Van81164:214
Van81164:21411
Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312
Gandzasar80263:172
Gandzasar80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.