Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.24
All matches
Syunik — BKMA, Premier League
Armenia, Premier League
Syunik
1.6LWLLD
BKMA
1.2LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%28%33%
Syunik39%Draw28%BKMA33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Syunik2.56—
XDraw3.56—
2BKMA3.04—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2295 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2290 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2279 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SyunikBKMA
Syunik 39%, BKMA Yerevan 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Syunik 39%Draw 28%BKMA Yerevan 33%
1st half
24 · 48 · 28
2nd half
40 · 32 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSyunikBKMACombined
Goals scored0.601.402.00
Conceded1.801.803.60
Corners8.09.88.9
Cards1.31.62.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Syunik- Relegation zone: 11th of 12
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
- One win in the last 5 matches1:5, 2:0, 0:1, 0:3, 0:0
BKMA- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for corners — 10.0 per match10 teams in the league
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Syunik
- awayAlashkert1:5
- homeShirak2:0
- homeArarat Yerevan0:1
- awayArarat-Armenia0:3
- homePyunik0:0
BKMA
- awayPyunik0:5
- homeSardarapat1:1
- awayVan1:2
- homeUrartu2:1
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Shirak1032512:1311
Shirak1032512:13118
Ararat Yerevan103259:1611
Ararat Yerevan103259:16119BKMA92258:158
BKMA92258:15810
Van102178:267
Van102178:26711Syunik101276:225
Syunik101276:22512
Gandzasar Kapan101099:243
Gandzasar Kapan101099:243Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.