Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.16
All matches
Ararat-Armenia — Noah, Premier League
Armenia, Premier League
Ararat-Armenia
3.2WLDWL
Noah
3.6DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%25%47%
Ararat-Armenia28%Draw25%Noah47%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ararat-Armenia3.60—
XDraw3.99—
2Noah2.12—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ararat-ArmeniaNoah
Ararat-Armenia 28%, FC Noah 47%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Ararat-Armenia 28%Draw 25%FC Noah 47%
1st half
24 · 43 · 33
2nd half
25 · 40 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricArarat-ArmeniaNoahCombined
Goals scored1.402.804.20
Conceded1.800.802.60
Corners10.28.29.2
Cards1.80.82.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Ararat-Armenia- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for shots on target — 5.3 per match10 teams in the league
- Played in Europe this week
Noah- 14 goals in the last 5 matches1:1, 5:1, 2:0, 3:0, 3:2
- Best attack in the league — 27 goals in 10 matches1st place, 28 points
- Unbeaten in 8 matches1:1, 5:1, 2:0, 3:0, 3:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Ararat-Armenia
- awayBKMA1:0
- awayJagiellonia1:3
- homeAlashkert1:1
- awayShirak3:1
- homeSparta Prague1:4
Noah
- homePyunik1:1
- awaySardarapat5:1
- homeVan2:0
- awayUrartu3:0
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:2
Head to head
- 05/10/26Premier League0:4
- 11/01/25Premier League2:1
- 09/20/25Premier League2:2
- 05/24/25Premier League0:2
- 12/04/24Premier League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Noah1091027:728
Noah1091027:7282Ararat-Armenia1072119:923
Ararat-Armenia1072119:9233
Pyunik1064024:922
Pyunik1064024:9224
Alashkert1054124:819
Alashkert1054124:819Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.