Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
Shirak — BKMA, Premier League
Armenia, Premier League
Shirak
1.1DLLLW
BKMA
1.3LLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%26%33%
Shirak41%Draw26%BKMA33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shirak2.42—
XDraw3.92—
2BKMA3.02—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ShirakBKMA
Shirak FC 41%, BKMA Yerevan 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Shirak FC 41%Draw 26%BKMA Yerevan 33%
1st half
38 · 42 · 20
2nd half
40 · 32 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricShirakBKMACombined
Goals scored0.800.801.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Shirak- Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.9 per match10 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:2, 1:3, 0:2, 2:0
BKMA- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
- Relegation zone: 10th of 12
- 2nd in the league for corners — 10.0 per match10 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Shirak
- awayArarat Yerevan1:1
- awaySyunik0:2
- homeArarat-Armenia1:3
- awayPyunik0:2
- homeSardarapat2:0
BKMA
- homeArarat-Armenia0:1
- awayPyunik0:5
- homeSardarapat1:1
- awayVan1:2
- homeUrartu2:1
Head to head
- 08/01/26Premier League0:0
- 04/16/26Premier League1:1
- 04/12/26Premier League0:0
- 08/16/25Premier League1:2
- 04/18/25Premier League2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Sardarapat1153318:1818
Sardarapat1153318:18186
Urartu1143419:1515
Urartu1143419:15157
Shirak1032512:1311
Shirak1032512:13118
Ararat Yerevan1132610:1811
Ararat Yerevan1132610:18119
Van1131710:2710
Van1131710:271010
BKMA102268:168
BKMA102268:16811
Syunik101276:225
Syunik101276:22512
Gandzasar Kapan1110109:273
Gandzasar Kapan1110109:273Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.