Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
—
Shirak — Alashkert, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Shirak
0.9LLWWL
Alashkert
2.2DDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
21%21%57%
Shirak21%Draw21%Alashkert57%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shirak4.74—
XDraw4.67—
2Alashkert1.74—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricShirakAlashkertCombined
Goals scored1.171.502.67
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners13.310.311.8
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ShirakAlashkert
Shirak FC 21%, Alashkert FC 57%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Shirak FC 21%Draw 21%Alashkert FC 57%
1st half
29 · 40 · 31
2nd half
23 · 37 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Shirak
- homeAvan Academy1:3
- awayPyunik0:2
- homeSardarapat2:0
- awayVan4:0
- homeUrartu0:1
Alashkert
- homePyunik3:3
- awaySardarapat1:1
- homeVan4:0
- awayUrartu1:1
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:0
Head to head
- 05/26/26Armenian Premier League0:2
- 10/17/25Armenian Premier League1:2
- 10/03/25Armenian Premier League1:1
- 05/10/25Armenian Premier League4:0
- 11/04/24Armenian Premier League3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Avan Academy861117:819
Avan Academy861117:8193
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:108Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.