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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh: result 0:2

Ukraine, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 0:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 47%, draw 35%, Livyi Bereh 17%.

0:2HT 0:1
1.4DLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
47%35%17%
Epitsentr DunayivtsiPrice 2.1547%DrawPrice 3.4335%Livyi BerehPrice 3.4217%
Line-upsEpitsentr Dunayivtsi3-5-2—Livyi Bereh4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3-5-2Livyi Bereh4-2-3-1

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3-5-2

Coach: Sergiy Nagornyak

Starting XI

  • 71GKUkraineNikita Fedotov
  • 25DFVitaliy Gorin
  • 3DFUkraineStepan Grigorashchuk
  • 77DFSpainNil Coch
  • 70DFUkraineIgor Kyryukhantsev
  • 59MFUkraineArtem Kozak
  • 8MFUkraineMykola Myronyuk
  • 27MFUkraineDaniil Vashchenko
  • 97DFUkraineOleksandr Klymets
  • 99MFSpainCarlos Rojas
  • 20FWUkraineVadym Sydun

Substitutes

  • 31GKUkraineOleg Bilyk
  • 22GKArsenii Vavshko
  • 13DFAlbaniaSerjan Repaj
  • 11DFAndriy Boyko
  • 5MFUkraineYevgen Zaporozhets
  • 21MFSpainNene
  • 10MFSpainJon Ceberio Mutuberria
  • 14MFSpainRaúl Tavares
  • 28MFUkraineAndriy Lipovuz
  • 7MFIvan Bendera
  • 15FWUkraineMaksym Yevpak

Livyi Bereh4-2-3-1

Coach: Oleksandr Ryabokon

Starting XI

  • 12GKUkraineRoman Zhmurko
  • 2DFUkraineOleg Sokolov
  • 97DFUkraineAndriy Yakimiv
  • 13DFIlya Kovalenko
  • 6DFBrazilSidnney Silva Santos
  • 38MFUkraineArtem Chelyadin
  • 44MFUkraineYevhen Banada
  • 17MFUkraineNazariy Vorobchak
  • 15MFUkraineVikentiy Voloshyn
  • 11MFUkraineIlya Kvasnytsya
  • 20FWPape Malick Fall

Substitutes

  • 74GKUkraineDenys Ihnatenko
  • 3DFIvan Kotukha
  • 14DFCentral African RepublicSeverin Tatolna
  • 8MFUkraineOleh Kryvoruchko
  • 7MFUkraineDmytro Shastal
  • 10MFBrazilDiego Henrique
  • 25MFUkraineSerhii Kosovskyi
  • 37FWUkraineRoman Heresh
  • 9FWWendell Florencio Brito

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.40xG1.54
57Possession, %43
11Shots12
2Shots on target5
9Corners7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
11Fouls8
0Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 66 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Epitsentr Dunayivtsi47%

    Actual: Livyi Bereh — we had 17%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.578%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No71%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi47%45%2.122.15+2.3
XDraw35%28%2.823.43+7.9
2Livyi Bereh17%28%5.753.42-10.2

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • homeMetalist Kharkiv1:2
  • awayKarpaty Lviv2:2
  • awayKolos Kovalivka1:3
  • homeLivyi Bereh0:2
  • awayDynamo Kyiv0:3

Livyi Bereh

  • homeLNZ Cherkasy0:0
  • awayMetalist Kharkiv1:2
  • homeZorya Luhansk1:3
  • awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2:0
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Zorya Luhansk1043312:1315
8Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311
12Veres Rivne112367:169
13Livyi Bereh91536:88
14Obolon-Brovar Kyiv101454:177
15Kryvbas81347:136

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.