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Decic 1:1 Mornar, First League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Montenegro, First LeagueMatch finished

1.9WLLDL
1:1HT 0:1
2.5DLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
35%31%34%
DecicPrice 2.2535%DrawPrice 2.9831%MornarPrice 3.0434%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.82xG1.43
59Possession, %41
10Shots9
7Shots on target6
10Corners3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
11Fouls20
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 78 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Decic35%

    Actual: Draw — we had 31%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.568%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No61%

    Actual: Yes — we had 39%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Decic35%41%2.842.25-5.6
XDraw31%30%3.222.98+1.2
2Mornar34%29%2.963.04+4.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Decic

  • homeOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj2:0
  • awayBokelj Kotor0:2
  • homeBuducnost0:1
  • homeMornar1:1
  • awaySutjeska0:2

Mornar

  • homePetrovac0:0
  • awayBuducnost2:3
  • homeMladost Donja Gorica4:1
  • awayArsenal Tivat2:1
  • homeJezero Plav3:3

Head to head

  • 09/20/26First League1:1
  • 04/18/26First League0:1
  • 02/25/26First League0:0
  • 10/18/25First League0:1
  • 08/17/25First League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Buducnost1364318:1222
2Mornar1456320:1521
4Sutjeska1355318:1020
5Bokelj Kotor1254310:919
6Decic1253412:1018
7Petrovac1336412:1315
8Jezero Plav1326515:2212

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.