All matches

Mladost Donja Gorica — Sutjeska, Montenegrin First League

Montenegro, Montenegrin First League

Mladost Donja Gorica
1.6LLWWL
—
Sutjeska
2.4WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%25%41%
Mladost Donja Gorica34%Draw25%Sutjeska41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mladost Donja Gorica34%2.97—
XDraw25%3.95—
2Sutjeska41%2.44—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.26

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMladost Donja GoricaSutjeskaCombined
Goals scored0.000.670.67
Conceded0.830.000.83
Corners12.010.511.3
Cards1.00.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Mladost Donja GoricaSutjeska

FK Mladost Donja Gorica 34%, FK Sutjeska Nikšić 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FK Mladost Donja Gorica 34%Draw 25%FK Sutjeska Nikšić 41%
1st half
29 · 40 · 30
2nd half
30 · 37 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mladost Donja Gorica

  • awayBokelj Kotor0:3
  • homeBuducnost0:2
  • awayArsenal Tivat1:0
  • homeDecic2:0
  • awaySutjeska1:5

Sutjeska

  • awayArsenal Tivat2:0
  • homeDecic2:0
  • homeMornar1:0
  • awayPetrovac0:0
  • homeMladost Donja Gorica5:1

Head to head

  • 08/28/26Montenegrin First League1:5
  • 05/20/26Montenegrin First League0:1
  • 03/21/26Montenegrin First League0:1
  • 11/30/25Montenegrin First League2:3
  • 09/21/25Montenegrin First League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Decic943210:715
3Bokelj Kotor94328:515
4Sutjeska942311:714
5Buducnost942311:714
6Mornar93429:713
7Mladost Donja Gorica93158:1510
8Jezero Plav92349:159
9Petrovac91537:98

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.