Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
Botev Plovdiv — CSKA Sofia, First League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
21%24%55%
Botev Plovdiv21%Draw24%CSKA Sofia55%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Botev Plovdiv4.75—
XDraw4.26—
2CSKA Sofia1.80—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Botev PlovdivCSKA Sofia
FK Botev Plovdiv 21%, PFC CSKA Sofia 55%. The safest is “PFC CSKA Sofia or draw” at 79%.
FK Botev Plovdiv 21%Draw 24%PFC CSKA Sofia 55%
1st half
28 · 38 · 33
2nd half
18 · 27 · 54
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBotev PlovdivCSKA SofiaCombined
Goals scored2.201.804.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Botev Plovdiv- 3 clean sheets in the last 55:2, 0:4, 1:0, 3:0, 2:0
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches5:2, 0:4, 1:0, 3:0, 2:0
- 2.0 goals per game at home7 matches
CSKA Sofia- Unbeaten away in 5 matches2:2, 3:2, 1:1, 2:0, 1:1
- League leaders — 30 points from 12 matches
- Most shots on target in the league — 7.3 per match14 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Botev Plovdiv
- awayLokomotiv Sofia5:2
- awayCSKA 19480:4
- homeSlavia Sofia1:0
- awaySeptemvri Sofia3:0
- homeLokomotiv Plovdiv2:0
CSKA Sofia
- homeLudogorets2:0
- awayNordsjaelland2:2
- homeMonaco1:2
- awayCSKA 19483:2
- awayLokomotiv Plovdiv1:1
Head to head
- 07/27/26First League2:3
- 11/22/25First League1:2
- 07/19/25First League1:1
- 05/26/25First League0:4
- 05/09/25First League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Bulgaria, First League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.