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Zorya Luhansk 0:2 Dynamo Kyiv, Premier League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Ukraine, Premier LeagueMatch finished

0:2HT 0:0
3.0WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
22%23%55%
Zorya LuhanskPrice 4.0022%DrawPrice 3.9323%Dynamo KyivPrice 1.8455%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.55xG1.12
33Possession, %67
4Shots10
1Shots on target2
4Corners4
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Fouls9
3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Dynamo Kyiv55%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.565%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes64%

    Actual: No — we had 36%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zorya Luhansk22%23%4.494.00-1.1
XDraw23%24%4.343.93-0.8
2Dynamo Kyiv55%53%1.831.84+1.9

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Zorya Luhansk

  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:0
  • homeChornomorets Odessa2:1
  • awayLivyi Bereh3:1
  • homeDynamo Kyiv0:2
  • awayBukovyna Chernivtsi1:1

Dynamo Kyiv

  • homeKudrivka3:1
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr1:3
  • homeKarpaty Lviv1:0
  • awayZorya Luhansk2:0
  • homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi3:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League0:2
  • 04/17/26Premier League1:3
  • 10/18/25Premier League1:1
  • 03/11/25Premier League2:2
  • 09/14/24Premier League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Polissya Zhytomyr1081123:825
3Metalist Kharkiv970218:721
4Dynamo Kyiv961214:919
5Karpaty Lviv1044217:816
6LNZ Cherkasy1043310:915
7Zorya Luhansk1043312:1315
8Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.