Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.00
No50%
ours 2.00
All matches
Urartu — Shirak, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
72%17%11%
Urartu72%Draw17%Shirak11%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Urartu1.39—
XDraw5.83—
2Shirak8.98—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UrartuShirak
FC Urartu 72%, Shirak FC 11%. The safest is “FC Urartu or draw” at 89%.
FC Urartu 72%Draw 17%Shirak FC 11%
1st half
39 · 45 · 16
2nd half
55 · 29 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUrartuShirakCombined
Goals scored2.000.402.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Urartu- 10 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 5:2, 2:2, 3:0, 0:3
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:0, 0:0, 5:0, 1:0, 1:1
Shirak- Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.9 per match10 teams in the league
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 1:1, 0:2, 1:3, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Urartu
- awaySardarapat0:1
- homeVan5:2
- homeArarat Yerevan2:2
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeNoah0:3
Shirak
- homeAlashkert0:1
- awayArarat Yerevan1:1
- awaySyunik0:2
- homeArarat-Armenia1:3
- awayPyunik0:2
Head to head
- 08/22/26Premier League1:0
- 05/18/26Premier League0:0
- 10/24/25Premier League5:0
- 09/26/25Premier League1:0
- 04/27/25Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Armenia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.