Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.30
No57%
ours 1.77
All matches
—
FC Midtjylland — Lyngby Boldklub, Superliga
Denmark, Superliga
FC Midtjylland
3.5DWDWDLyngby Boldklub
1.3LDWDLOutcome probability
7616
FC Midtjylland76%Draw16%Lyngby Boldklub9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Midtjylland1.32—
XDraw6.41—
2Lyngby Boldklub11.35—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC MidtjyllandLyngby BoldklubCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners9.510.510.0
Cards1.52.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC MidtjyllandLyngby Boldklub2Table position102.8Days of rest74Matches in 14 days240.50%Possession46.80% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour FC Midtjylland: a home win is rated at 76%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
69%
Form and context
FC Midtjylland
- awayOdense BK1:1
- homeBrøndby IF4:1
- homeFC Nordsjælland2:2
- awayAarhus Gymnastikforening2:0
- awaySilkeborg IF1:1
Lyngby Boldklub
- homeSilkeborg IF0:4
- homeSønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold1:1
- awayViborg FF2:0
- homeOdense BK1:1
- awayAC Horsens1:2
Head to head
- 08/16/26Superliga1:1
- 02/16/25Superliga1:0
- 08/16/24Superliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC København980123:824
FC København980123:8242FC Midtjylland954017:919
FC Midtjylland954017:9193
Viborg FF952215:817
Viborg FF952215:8174
FC Nordsjælland952214:1017
FC Nordsjælland952214:10175
Brøndby IF941412:1513
Brøndby IF941412:15136
AC Horsens932415:1611
AC Horsens932415:16117
Silkeborg IF924312:1210
Silkeborg IF924312:12108
Randers FC931511:1410
Randers FC931511:14109
Odense BK92348:149
Odense BK92348:14910Lyngby Boldklub914410:167
Lyngby Boldklub914410:16711
Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:175
Aarhus Gymnastikforening905411:17512
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215
Sønderjysk Elitesport Fodbold912612:215