All matches

Midtjylland — Copenhagen, Superliga

Denmark, Superliga

Midtjylland
3.5DWDWD
—
Copenhagen
3.2WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%25%31%
MidtjyllandMarket 2.4743%DrawMarket 3.6025%CopenhagenMarket 2.5531%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Midtjylland43%40%2.312.47+2.9
XDraw25%28%3.933.60-2.3
2Copenhagen31%39%3.212.55-8.0

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65book 1.49

No39%

ours 2.54book 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMidtjyllandCopenhagenCombined
Goals scored2.332.835.16
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners9.87.78.8
Cards1.31.52.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MidtjyllandCopenhagen

FC Midtjylland 43%, FC København 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Midtjylland 43%Draw 25%FC København 31%
1st half
39 · 37 · 23
2nd half
30 · 35 · 35

Bookmakers: 2.47 · 3.60 · 2.55

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Midtjylland

  • awayOdense1:1
  • homeBrondby4:1
  • homeNordsjaelland2:2
  • awayAGF Aarhus2:0
  • awaySilkeborg1:1

Copenhagen

  • awayBrondby1:0
  • homeHorsens2:0
  • awayOdense5:0
  • homeNordsjaelland2:0
  • homeSonderjyskE3:1

Head to head

  • 02/08/26Superliga2:1
  • 10/05/25Superliga1:1
  • 05/11/25Superliga1:1
  • 04/17/25Superliga4:2
  • 02/23/25Superliga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Copenhagen980123:824
2Midtjylland954017:919
3Viborg FF952215:817
4Nordsjaelland952214:1017

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.