Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
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KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë — FC Midtjylland, UEFA Europa Conference League
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2.7WLWWLFC Midtjylland
3.5DWDWDOutcome probability
162262
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë16%Draw22%FC Midtjylland62%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë6.30—
XDraw4.51—
2FC Midtjylland1.61—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKS Egnatia RrogozhinëFC MidtjyllandCombined
Goals scored1.501.673.17
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners10.010.010.0
Cards0.61.42.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
KS Egnatia RrogozhinëFC Midtjylland52.60%Possession45.60%4.2Days of rest41Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, FC Midtjylland still look stronger — an away win is rated at 62%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Form and context
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- homeKF Partizani Tirana2:1
- awayAF Elbasani1:2
- homeKS Skënderbeu Korçë2:1
- awayFK Vora3:1
- awayLillestrøm SK1:2
FC Midtjylland
- awayOdense BK1:1
- homeBrøndby IF4:1
- homeFC Nordsjælland2:2
- awayAarhus Gymnastikforening2:0
- awaySilkeborg IF1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
FC Inter Turku834111:1013
FC Inter Turku834111:101311
KF Drita633014:512
KF Drita633014:51212FC Midtjylland440011:312
FC Midtjylland440011:31213
FK Jablonec 64029:512
FK Jablonec 64029:51214
Panathinaikos FC633011:812
Panathinaikos FC633011:812