Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
Dinamo Tbilisi — Torpedo Kutaisi, Erovnuli Liga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%25%26%
Dinamo Tbilisi48%Draw25%Torpedo Kutaisi26%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Tbilisi2.07—
XDraw3.93—
2Torpedo Kutaisi3.80—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Dinamo TbilisiTorpedo Kutaisi
FC Dinamo Tbilisi 48%, FC Torpedo Kutaisi 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Dinamo Tbilisi 48%Draw 25%FC Torpedo Kutaisi 26%
1st half
40 · 36 · 23
2nd half
36 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Over 1.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDinamo TbilisiTorpedo KutaisiCombined
Goals scored2.002.004.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Dinamo Tbilisi- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches3:1, 4:0, 0:0, 2:1, 0:3
- Most shots on target in the league — 5.2 per match10 teams in the league
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches2:0, 3:1, 0:1, 2:1, 3:2
Torpedo Kutaisi- Winless away in 7 matches2:3, 3:3, 2:3, 1:1, 2:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches2:3, 0:1, 3:3, 2:3, 3:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Dinamo Tbilisi
- awayRustavi2:0
- homeSpaeri3:1
- awayDinamo Batumi0:1
- awayIberia 19992:1
- awaySamgurali Tskaltubo3:2
Torpedo Kutaisi
- awayIberia 19992:3
- homeRustavi0:1
- awaySpaeri3:3
- awayDinamo Batumi2:3
- homeSamgurali Tskaltubo3:2
Head to head
- 09/06/26Erovnuli Liga1:1
- 05/24/26Erovnuli Liga0:1
- 04/07/26Erovnuli Liga0:0
- 11/30/25Erovnuli Liga2:2
- 09/27/25Erovnuli Liga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Georgia, Erovnuli Liga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.