All matches

Dinamo Batumi — Meshakhte Tkibuli, Erovnuli Liga

Georgia, Erovnuli Liga

Dinamo Batumi
2.2WDWWW
—
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1.3DLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%25%18%
Dinamo Batumi58%Draw25%Meshakhte Tkibuli18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Batumi58%1.73—
XDraw25%4.07—
2Meshakhte Tkibuli18%5.68—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.91

No48%

ours 2.10

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDinamo BatumiMeshakhte TkibuliCombined
Goals scored1.170.171.34
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners12.38.010.2
Cards2.71.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dinamo BatumiMeshakhte Tkibuli

FC Dinamo Batumi 58%, FC Meshakhte Tkibuli 18%. The safest is “FC Dinamo Batumi or draw” at 82%.

FC Dinamo Batumi 58%Draw 25%FC Meshakhte Tkibuli 18%
1st half
47 · 39 · 14
2nd half
34 · 41 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Dinamo Batumi

  • homeTorpedo Kutaisi3:2
  • awayDila Gori2:2
  • homeIberia 19992:0
  • awayRustavi1:0
  • homeSpaeri3:0

Meshakhte Tkibuli

  • awayGagra1:1
  • homeRustavi0:1
  • awayDinamo Tbilisi0:0
  • homeSpaeri2:2
  • awayTorpedo Kutaisi2:0

Head to head

  • 08/21/26Erovnuli Liga1:0
  • 05/16/26Erovnuli Liga2:1
  • 03/16/26Erovnuli Liga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Dinamo Tbilisi27139545:3048
2Dinamo Batumi27138646:3647
3Rustavi27137732:2346
4Iberia 199927144938:3046
5Dila Gori271241138:3040
6Torpedo Kutaisi2799943:3436
7Samgurali Tskaltubo27951338:5232
8Gagra276111025:3729
9Spaeri275101234:4325
10Meshakhte Tkibuli272111420:4417

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.