All matches

Dinamo Tbilisi — Iberia 1999, Erovnuli Liga

Georgia, Erovnuli Liga

Dinamo Tbilisi
2.5WWWDD
—
Iberia 1999
3.1LWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Dinamo Tbilisi40%Draw26%Iberia 199934%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Tbilisi40%2.52—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Iberia 199934%2.93—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDinamo TbilisiIberia 1999Combined
Goals scored1.500.171.67
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners7.78.07.8
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dinamo TbilisiIberia 1999

FC Dinamo Tbilisi 40%, FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FC Dinamo Tbilisi 40%Draw 26%FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi 34%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
30 · 41 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Dinamo Tbilisi

  • awayIberia 19992:1
  • awaySamgurali Tskaltubo3:2
  • homeGagra4:0
  • homeMeshakhte Tkibuli0:0
  • awayTorpedo Kutaisi1:1

Iberia 1999

  • homeDinamo Tbilisi1:2
  • awayRustavi2:0
  • homeDila Gori2:1
  • homeSpaeri1:0
  • awayDinamo Batumi0:2

Head to head

  • 10/04/26Erovnuli Liga2:1
  • 05/16/26Erovnuli Liga2:0
  • 03/15/26Erovnuli Liga0:0
  • 11/26/25Erovnuli Liga0:1
  • 09/19/25Erovnuli Liga2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Dinamo Tbilisi27139545:3048
2Dinamo Batumi27138646:3647
3Rustavi27137732:2346
4Iberia 199927144938:3046
5Dila Gori271241138:3040
6Torpedo Kutaisi2799943:3436

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.