Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
—
Estudiantes — Instituto Córdoba, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Estudiantes
2.3WLWLD
Instituto Córdoba
1.8WWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%26%
Estudiantes47%Draw27%Instituto Córdoba26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Estudiantes2.11—
XDraw3.70—
2Instituto Córdoba3.92—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEstudiantesInstituto CórdobaCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners7.38.07.7
Cards2.33.55.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EstudiantesInstituto Córdoba
Estudiantes de La Plata 47%, Instituto Córdoba 26%. The safest is “Estudiantes de La Plata or draw” at 75%.
Estudiantes de La Plata 47%Draw 27%Instituto Córdoba 26%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
37 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Estudiantes
- homeGimnasia Mendoza3:0
- awayLanus1:2
- homePlatense2:1
- awayVelez Sarsfield0:1
- homeNewell's Old Boys0:0
Instituto Córdoba
- awayIndependiente4:1
- homeTalleres de Cordoba3:1
- awayUnion de Santa Fe2:3
- homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro1:0
- awayTucuman0:0
Head to head
- 04/18/26Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
Velez Sarsfield281213335:24498
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:37479Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.