All matches

Estudiantes 3:0 Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, Primera División

Argentina, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Estudiantes
2.3WLWLD
3:0HT 0:0
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
1.9LDLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
50%27%23%
EstudiantesMarket 1.6650%DrawMarket 3.6527%Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de MendozaMarket 5.6123%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.67xG0.98
52Possession, %48
17Shots10
5Shots on target2
4Corners5
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
14Fouls19
5Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 138 of 183void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Estudiantes50%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.553%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 48%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes53%

    Actual: No — we had 47%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Estudiantes50%60%2.001.66-10.1
XDraw27%27%3.753.65-0.7
2Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza23%18%4.295.61+5.5

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Estudiantes

  • homeAtlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza3:0
  • awayLanus1:2
  • homePlatense2:1
  • awayVelez Sarsfield0:1
  • homeNewell's Old Boys0:0

Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

  • awayEstudiantes0:3
  • homeRiestra0:0
  • awayDefensa y Justicia0:2
  • homeBoca Juniors2:2
  • awayIndependiente3:0

Head to head

  • 10/05/26Primera División3:0
  • 03/18/26Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
8Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
9Estudiantes281351032:1944
10Huracan291111731:2444
11Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
12Independiente28118936:3541
13Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
14Lanus27108928:2638
15Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
16Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza271061128:3436
17Barracas Central2698922:2335
18Racing Club29981232:3435

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.