Estudiantes 3:0 Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, Primera División


Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedEstudiantes50%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.553%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 48%
- Both teams to score MissedYes53%
Actual: No — we had 47%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Estudiantes
- homeAtlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza3:0
- awayLanus1:2
- homePlatense2:1
- awayVelez Sarsfield0:1
- homeNewell's Old Boys0:0
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
- awayEstudiantes0:3
- homeRiestra0:0
- awayDefensa y Justicia0:2
- homeBoca Juniors2:2
- awayIndependiente3:0
Head to head
- 10/05/26Primera División3:0
- 03/18/26Primera División2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.
