Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.41
All matches
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Defensa y Justicia — Instituto Córdoba, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Defensa y Justicia
2.0WDWLW
Instituto Córdoba
1.8WWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%27%34%
Defensa y Justicia40%Draw27%Instituto Córdoba34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Defensa y Justicia2.52—
XDraw3.77—
2Instituto Córdoba2.96—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDefensa y JusticiaInstituto CórdobaCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners11.09.310.1
Cards2.23.35.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Defensa y JusticiaInstituto Córdoba
CSD Defensa y Justicia 40%, Instituto Córdoba 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
CSD Defensa y Justicia 40%Draw 27%Instituto Córdoba 34%
1st half
34 · 39 · 27
2nd half
29 · 37 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Defensa y Justicia
- homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro3:0
- awayCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero2:2
- homeGimnasia Mendoza2:0
- awayLanus0:1
- homePlatense1:0
Instituto Córdoba
- awayIndependiente4:1
- homeTalleres de Cordoba3:1
- awayUnion de Santa Fe2:3
- homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro1:0
- awayTucuman0:0
Head to head
- 04/07/26Primera División0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.