All matches

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro: result 1:3

Brazil, Serie AMatch finished

Final score 1:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Cruzeiro 40%, Vitoria 31%, draw 30%.

1.6LDDLW
1:3HT 1:0
2.6WWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
31%30%40%
VitoriaPrice 3.0031%DrawPrice 3.4830%CruzeiroPrice 2.3740%
Line-upsVitoria4-2-3-1—Cruzeiro4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Vitoria4-2-3-1Cruzeiro4-2-3-1

Vitoria 4-2-3-1

Coach: Jair Ventura

Starting XI

  • 1GKBrazilLucas Arcanjo
  • 98DFBrazilMateusinho
  • 25DFBrazilCacá
  • 36DFBrazilLuan Cândido
  • 83DFBrazilJamerson
  • 6MFArgentinaE. Martínez
  • 95MFBrazilCaíque
  • 33MFBrazilErick
  • 10MFBrazilMatheuzinho
  • 12MFArgentinaD. Tarzia
  • 91FWBrazilRene

Substitutes

  • 2DFArgentinaE. Brítez
  • 9FWBrazilAlex Bruno
  • 26MFBrazilEdenilson
  • 23FWBrazilFabrício
  • 20FWBrazilLucas Silva
  • 7FWBrazilMarinho
  • 8MFArgentinaT. Pochettino
  • 16MFPortugalRúben Ismael
  • 79FWBrazilRenato Kayzer
  • 71GKBrazilYuri Sena
  • 88MFBrazilZé Vitor
  • 3DFDarlan Silva Dutra

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Coach: Artur Jorge

Starting XI

  • 81GKBrazilOtávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
  • 23DFBrazilFágner
  • 43DFBrazilJoão Marcelo
  • 34DFBrazilJonathan
  • 27DFArgentinaG. Rojas
  • 8MFBrazilGerson
  • 5MFBrazilZé Lucas
  • 99MFEcuadorK. Arroyo
  • 10MFBrazilMatheus Pereira
  • 20MFBrazilWesley Gassova
  • 19FWBrazilKaio Jorge

Substitutes

  • 12DFBrazilWilliam
  • 94FWBrazilWanderson
  • 6DFUruguayM. Viña
  • 25DFArgentinaL. Villalba
  • 97FWUruguayL. Rodríguez
  • 7MFBrazilMatheus Henrique
  • 16MFBrazilLucas Silva
  • 38MFFelipe Morais
  • 15DFBrazilFabrício Bruno
  • 67FWBrazilJoão Gabriel e Costa Cesco
  • 9FWBrazilBruno Rodrigues
  • 1GKBrazilCássio

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.24xG1.50
44Possession, %56
21Shots13
8Shots on target5
8Corners2
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
10Fouls19
4Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 64 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Cruzeiro40%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.561%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 39%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No54%

    Actual: Yes — we had 46%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Vitoria31%32%3.263.00-1.2
XDraw30%27%3.363.48+2.4
2Cruzeiro40%41%2.532.37-1.3

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Vitoria

  • awayCoritiba0:2
  • homeAthletico Paranaense1:1
  • awayCorinthians1:1
  • awaySao Paulo1:2
  • homeChapecoense4:0

Cruzeiro

  • awayAtletico Mineiro1:0
  • homeRemo1:0
  • awayGremio4:2
  • awayRed Bull Bragantino2:4
  • homeSao Paulo2:0

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Serie A1:3
  • 04/01/26Serie A0:3
  • 11/01/25Serie A1:3
  • 06/12/25Serie A0:0
  • 08/19/24Serie A2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo33227468:2873
2Palmeiras332010356:2270
3Cruzeiro331761052:4657
4Fluminense33159952:4254
5Athletico Paranaense33159950:4054
6Bahia331411848:4253
7Atletico Mineiro331481144:3950
8Red Bull Bragantino341381344:3947
9Santos3412111150:4947
10Sao Paulo331271439:3943
11Coritiba331191340:5042
12Botafogo331091445:5339
13Vasco da Gama321081440:4938
14Vitoria331081535:4838
15Gremio339101437:4437
16Mirassol339101437:4737

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.