All matches

CS Hammam-Lif — Olympique Beja, Ligue 1

Tunisia, Ligue 1

CS Hammam-Lif
LLLL
—
Olympique Beja
DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%29%23%
CS Hammam-Lif48%Draw29%Olympique Beja23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Hammam-Lif48%2.08—
XDraw29%3.40—
2Olympique Beja23%4.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.04

No51%

ours 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CS Hammam-LifOlympique Beja

CS Hammam-Lif 48%, Olympique de Béja 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

CS Hammam-Lif 48%Draw 29%Olympique de Béja 23%
1st half
36 · 41 · 22
2nd half
24 · 47 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 9.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCS Hammam-LifOlympique BejaCombined
Goals scored0.000.330.33
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners5.09.57.3
Cards0.03.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

CS Hammam-Lif

  • awayUS Ben Guerdane0:1
  • homeEsperance de Tunis0:1
  • awayPS Sakiet Eddaier0:1
  • homeCA Bizertin0:1

Olympique Beja

  • homePS Sakiet Eddaier1:1
  • awayCA Bizertin1:1
  • homeUS Ben Guerdane1:2
  • awayES Zarzis0:1
  • awayClub Africain1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12ES Zarzis41033:53
13ES Metlaoui41032:43
14Olympique Beja40223:52
15ES Hammam-Sousse40131:51
16CS Hammam-Lif40040:40

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.