Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
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Club Africain — Esperance de Tunis, Ligue 1
Tunisia, Ligue 1
Club Africain
3.0WWWDW
Esperance de Tunis
3.1WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%31%29%
Club Africain40%Draw31%Esperance de Tunis29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Africain2.50—
XDraw3.23—
2Esperance de Tunis3.44—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Club AfricainEsperance de Tunis
Club Africain 40%, Espérance Sportive de Tunis 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Club Africain 40%Draw 31%Espérance Sportive de Tunis 29%
1st half
34 · 40 · 26
2nd half
27 · 46 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricClub AfricainEsperance de TunisCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.000.670.67
Corners6.07.76.8
Cards1.51.73.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Club Africain
- homeES Zarzis1:0
- homeES Hammam-Sousse1:0
- awayES Metlaoui1:0
- homeOlympique Beja1:1
- awayEsperance de Tunis1:0
Esperance de Tunis
- awayCS Hammam-Lif1:0
- homeAS Marsa2:1
- awayJS Omrane1:3
- homeEtoile du Sahel3:2
- awayUS Ben Guerdane1:0
Head to head
- 05/10/26Ligue 11:0
- 11/09/25Ligue 10:0
- 04/20/25Ligue 11:3
- 12/22/24Ligue 12:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Club Africain33003:09
Club Africain33003:092Esperance de Tunis43017:69
Esperance de Tunis43017:693
CS Sfaxien42206:38
CS Sfaxien42206:384
PS Sakiet Eddaier42204:18
PS Sakiet Eddaier42204:18Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.