All matches

CS Hammam-Lif — ES Metlaoui, Ligue 1

Tunisia, Ligue 1

CS Hammam-Lif
1.7LLLL
—
ES Metlaoui
1.9LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
35%36%30%
CS Hammam-Lif35%Draw36%ES Metlaoui30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Hammam-Lif35%2.90—
XDraw36%2.80—
2ES Metlaoui30%3.36—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes41%

ours 2.43

No59%

ours 1.70

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CS Hammam-LifES Metlaoui

CS Hammam-Lif 35%, Étoile Sportive de Métlaoui 30%. The safest is “Étoile Sportive de Métlaoui or draw” at 70%.

CS Hammam-Lif 35%Draw 36%Étoile Sportive de Métlaoui 30%
1st half
31 · 49 · 21
2nd half
20 · 53 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCS Hammam-LifES MetlaouiCombined
Goals scored0.000.330.33
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners6.38.07.2
Cards0.00.70.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

CS Hammam-Lif

  • awayUS Ben Guerdane0:1
  • homeEsperance de Tunis0:1
  • awayPS Sakiet Eddaier0:1
  • homeCA Bizertin0:1

ES Metlaoui

  • awayJS Omrane0:1
  • homeES Hammam-Sousse1:0
  • awayEtoile du Sahel1:2
  • homeClub Africain0:1
  • homeJS Kairouanaise0:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11AS Marsa41122:34
12ES Zarzis41033:53
13ES Metlaoui41032:43
14Olympique Beja40223:52
15ES Hammam-Sousse40131:51
16CS Hammam-Lif40040:40

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.