All matches

Red Bull Bragantino — Cruzeiro, Serie A

Brazil, Serie A

Red Bull Bragantino
1.7LLDLL
—
Cruzeiro
2.7WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Red Bull BragantinoMarket 2.1944%DrawMarket 3.5726%CruzeiroMarket 3.2830%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Red Bull Bragantino44%46%2.262.19-1.5
XDraw26%28%3.903.57-2.4
2Cruzeiro30%30%3.323.28-0.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67book 1.63

No40%

ours 2.49book 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRed Bull BragantinoCruzeiroCombined
Goals scored0.831.672.50
Conceded1.501.332.83
Corners13.011.012.0
Cards2.42.44.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Red Bull BragantinoCruzeiro

Clube Atlético Bragantino 44%, Cruzeiro EC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Clube Atlético Bragantino 44%Draw 26%Cruzeiro EC 30%
1st half
44 · 35 · 21
2nd half
33 · 37 · 29

Bookmakers: 2.19 · 3.57 · 3.28

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Red Bull Bragantino

  • awayCA Mineiro0:1
  • awayFlamengo1:2
  • awayBotafogo1:1
  • homeBahia2:3
  • awaySao Paulo1:2

Cruzeiro

  • awayVitoria3:1
  • awaySantos1:2
  • homeCA Paranaense3:1
  • awayVasco da Gama1:3
  • homeFlamengo2:1

Head to head

  • 04/12/26Serie A1:2
  • 09/21/25Serie A1:2
  • 04/20/25Serie A1:0
  • 12/01/24Serie A1:1
  • 07/13/24Serie A1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fluminense28139644:3648
5Bahia281210643:3546
6Cruzeiro28136942:4045
7CA Mineiro28127937:3243
8Santos28118943:4141
9Coritiba281081037:4338
10Sao Paulo281061233:3236
11Red Bull Bragantino281061233:3236
12Botafogo28981141:4535
13Vitoria28961328:4233

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.