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Alianza Atletico Sullana vs Comerciantes Unidos: result 2:1

Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Alianza Atletico Sullana 60%, draw 23%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
60%23%17%
Alianza Atletico SullanaPrice 1.6560%DrawPrice 3.7023%Comerciantes UnidosPrice 4.9317%
Line-upsAlianza Atletico Sullana4-1-4-1—Comerciantes Unidos4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Alianza Atletico Sullana4-1-4-1Comerciantes Unidos4-2-3-1

Alianza Atletico Sullana 4-1-4-1

Coach: F. Urciuoli

Starting XI

  • 31GKPeruS. Rivadeneyra
  • 16DFPeruS. Fernández
  • 2DFR. Suarez
  • 6DFPeruJ. Luján
  • 24DFPeruA. Gordillo
  • 10MFArgentinaGermán Díaz
  • 11MFPeruG. Larios
  • 15MFPeruH. Lupú
  • 22MFPeruJ. del Castillo
  • 17MFEcuadorC. Penilla
  • 29FWColombiaJ. Molina

Substitutes

  • 25DFPeruW. Guzmán
  • 8MFPeruF. Flores
  • 37MFPeruJ. Delgado
  • 19DFPeruJ. Mendieta
  • 23MFArgentinaA. Muñoz
  • 95GKPeruD. Prieto
  • 20MFPeruJimmy Pérez
  • 9FWV. Robaldo
  • 77FWPeruC. Valladolid

Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Hernández

Starting XI

  • 17GKPeruM. Córdova
  • 16DFPeruR. Rojas
  • 66DFPeruPaolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
  • 6DFJ. Rodriguez
  • 15DFPeruA. Cossio
  • 4MFArgentinaA. Martín Arias
  • 18MFUruguayA. Rodríguez
  • 32MFEcuadorJ. Sánchez
  • 20MFPeruJ. Parodi
  • 50MFPeruJ. Olivares
  • 9FWArgentinaM. Sen

Substitutes

  • 13FWUruguayM. Pérez
  • 28MFPeruO. Pinto
  • 19DFBoliviaD. Lino
  • 30DFPeruP. Guzmán
  • 54MFPeruY. Gamero
  • 99GKPeruJosé Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
  • 8FWEcuadorW. Ayoví
  • 14MFThiago Salinas

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.26xG1.13
67Possession, %33
25Shots10
5Shots on target4
10Corners3
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
11Fouls14
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 77 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Alianza Atletico Sullana60%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.555%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No57%

    Actual: Yes — we had 43%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Alianza Atletico Sullana60%58%1.671.65+1.8
XDraw23%24%4.283.70-0.8
2Comerciantes Unidos17%18%5.984.93-1.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Alianza Atletico Sullana

  • homeJuan Pablo II1:0
  • homeGarcilaso3:2
  • awaySport Huancayo1:4
  • homeUniversitario de Deportes1:4
  • awaySport Boys3:1

Comerciantes Unidos

  • awayMelgar1:1
  • homeCienciano3:1
  • awaySporting Cristal2:4
  • homeJuan Pablo II1:1
  • awayAlianza Atletico Sullana1:2

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Primera División2:1
  • 04/22/26Primera División0:1
  • 10/18/25Primera División0:1
  • 06/12/25Primera División3:0
  • 09/23/24Primera División1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Sporting Cristal321551262:4750
7Cienciano311551153:4350
9Sport Huancayo321451346:4847
10Los Chankas321381139:5147
11Sport Boys311281135:3344
12Juan Pablo II321181347:5741
13Comerciantes Unidos318111242:4535
14Atletico Grau32971629:4134
15Deportivo Tarma31791533:4530

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.