Alianza Atletico Sullana vs Comerciantes Unidos: result 2:1
Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Alianza Atletico Sullana 60%, draw 23%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsAlianza Atletico Sullana4-1-4-1—Comerciantes Unidos4-2-3-1
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Alianza Atletico Sullana 4-1-4-1
Coach: F. Urciuoli
Starting XI
31GKS. Rivadeneyra
16DFS. Fernández
2DFR. Suarez6DFJ. Luján
24DFA. Gordillo
10MFGermán Díaz
11MFG. Larios
15MFH. Lupú
22MFJ. del Castillo
17MF
C. Penilla29FWJ. Molina
Substitutes
25DFW. Guzmán
8MFF. Flores
37MFJ. Delgado
19DFJ. Mendieta
23MFA. Muñoz
95GKD. Prieto
20MFJimmy Pérez
9FWV. Robaldo77FWC. Valladolid
Comerciantes Unidos 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Hernández
Starting XI
17GKM. Córdova
16DFR. Rojas
66DFPaolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
6DFJ. Rodriguez15DFA. Cossio
4MFA. Martín Arias
18MFA. Rodríguez
32MF
J. Sánchez20MFJ. Parodi
50MFJ. Olivares
9FWM. Sen
Substitutes
13FWM. Pérez
28MFO. Pinto
19DF
D. Lino30DFP. Guzmán
54MFY. Gamero
99GKJosé Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
8FW
W. Ayoví14MFThiago Salinas
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedAlianza Atletico Sullana60%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.555%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 45%
- Both teams to score MissedNo57%
Actual: Yes — we had 43%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Alianza Atletico Sullana
- homeJuan Pablo II1:0
- homeGarcilaso3:2
- awaySport Huancayo1:4
- homeUniversitario de Deportes1:4
- awaySport Boys3:1
Comerciantes Unidos
- awayMelgar1:1
- homeCienciano3:1
- awaySporting Cristal2:4
- homeJuan Pablo II1:1
- awayAlianza Atletico Sullana1:2
Head to head
- 09/18/26Primera División2:1
- 04/22/26Primera División0:1
- 10/18/25Primera División0:1
- 06/12/25Primera División3:0
- 09/23/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


