All matches

Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal prediction

Chile, Primera División

VARStats prediction for 9 November: Universidad de Chile 80%, draw 13%, Cobresal 7%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
1.5DDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
80%13%
Universidad de Chile80%Draw13%Cobresal7%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Universidad de Chile80%1.24—
XDraw13%7.99—
2Cobresal7%14.25—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69

No41%

ours 2.45

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universidad de ChileCobresal

CFP Universidad de Chile 80%, CD Cobresal 7%. The safest is “CFP Universidad de Chile or draw” at 91%.

CFP Universidad de Chile 80%Draw 13%CD Cobresal 7%
1st half
55 · 33 · 12
2nd half
64 · 23 · 13
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversidad de ChileCobresalCombined
Goals scored3.401.404.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Universidad de Chile
  • 17 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 4:1, 6:0, 3:0, 4:2
  • Best defence in the league — 21 conceded in 26 matches2nd place, 48 points
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Cobresal
  • Winless away in 7 matches1:1, 0:3, 3:3, 0:2, 3:3
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • Relegation zone: 15th of 16

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Universidad de Chile

  • awayUniversidad Catolica0:1
  • homeEverton Vina del Mar4:1
  • homeNublense6:0
  • awayLa Serena3:0
  • homeCoquimbo Unido4:2

Cobresal

  • homeEverton Vina del Mar2:2
  • awayO'Higgins1:1
  • homeUniversidad de Concepcion1:1
  • homeCoquimbo Unido3:2
  • awayDeportes Limache0:3

Head to head

  • 05/17/26Primera División0:1
  • 08/04/25Primera División0:1
  • 03/02/25Primera División1:2
  • 07/21/24Primera División3:3
  • 03/25/24Primera División2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Colo-Colo26184457:2958
2Universidad de Chile26146645:2148
3Universidad Catolica26144853:3746
4Palestino25115939:3638
5Deportes Limache251141046:3737
6Everton Vina del Mar26107940:3437
7Coquimbo Unido251051038:3535
8Nublense2698930:3935
9La Serena26810839:4234
10Huachipato25961034:4033
11Concepcion25951127:3032
12O'Higgins26941330:3931
13Audax Italiano2579928:3330
14Union La Calera26761327:3827
15Cobresal26661436:5124

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.