Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.02book 2.49
No50%
ours 1.98book 1.48
All matches
Barracas Central — AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Barracas Central
2.0WWLDD
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0WLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%25%16%
Barracas CentralMarket 1.8059%DrawMarket 3.1125%AA Estudiantes de Río CuartoMarket 5.7116%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Barracas Central1.691.80+6.2
XDraw4.003.11-5.5
2AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto6.295.71-0.7
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2295 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2290 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2279 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Barracas CentralAA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Barracas Central 59%, AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16%. The safest is “Barracas Central or draw” at 83%.
Barracas Central 59%Draw 25%AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16%
1st half
40 · 47 · 13
2nd half
37 · 42 · 21
Bookmakers: 1.80 · 3.11 · 5.71
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Both teams to score: No
50%1.48
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBarracas CentralAA Estudiantes de Río CuartoCombined
Goals scored1.000.801.80
Conceded0.601.602.20
Corners9.212.811.0
Cards3.62.46.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Barracas Central- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 3:2, 0:1, 0:0, 0:0
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto- Winless away in 6 matches0:1, 1:2, 1:1, 1:2, 0:3
- Relegation zone: 30th of 30
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Barracas Central
- homeHuracan2:0
- awayTucuman3:2
- homeIndependiente Rivadavia0:1
- homeArgentinos Juniors0:0
- awayTigre0:0
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- homeAldosivi2:1
- awayRiver Plate0:1
- homeRacing Club1:2
- awayBelgrano de Cordoba1:2
- homeSarmiento0:2
Head to head
- 04/12/26Primera División2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Sarmiento281231334:3839
Sarmiento281231334:383917
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza291161229:3539
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza291161229:353918Barracas Central27108924:2338
Barracas Central27108924:233819
Union de Santa Fe301071343:4437
Union de Santa Fe301071343:443720
Racing Club31991333:3736
Racing Club31991333:373621
Talleres de Cordoba30981329:3435
Talleres de Cordoba30981329:343522
Tigre297121031:3033
Tigre297121031:303323
Newell's Old Boys287111026:3632
Newell's Old Boys287111026:363224
Banfield28861430:3730
Banfield28861430:373025
Tucuman296101327:3328
Tucuman296101327:332826
Platense295121222:3427
Platense295121222:342727
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero28681421:3726
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero28681421:372628
Riestra273131114:2122
Riestra273131114:212229
Aldosivi292101720:4116
Aldosivi292101720:411630AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto28352012:3914
AA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto28352012:3914Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.