Bulgaria vs Estonia: result 0:0

UEFA Nations League29 September at 18:45 · UTCMatch finished

Final score 0:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Bulgaria 48%, draw 29%, Estonia 23%.

Bulgaria

1.7LWLLL

0:0HT 0:0

Estonia

1.9DLDLL

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 29 September at 16:19

48%29%23%

BulgariaPrice 1.7948%DrawPrice 3.5829%EstoniaPrice 5.1623%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.59xG0.77

55Possession, %45

17Shots6

2Shots on target2

6Corners6

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

9Fouls26

0Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

12 of 17

Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type

All forecast types: landed 173 of 255void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

Match result Missed
Bulgaria48%
Actual: Draw — we had 29%
Total goals Landed
Under 2.571%
Both teams to score Landed
No66%

From Premium — open after the final whistle10 of 14 came true

First half resultDraw 41%✓
Goal in both halvesNo 62%✓
Double chanceBulgaria or draw 77%✓
Handicap (0)Bulgaria 67%·
HandicapEstonia +0.5 52%✓
Home team goalsUnder 1.5 68%✓
Away team goalsOver 0.5 51%✕
Total cornersOver 7.5 51%✓
Home cornersOver 5.5 52%✓
Away cornersUnder 2.5 70%✕
Total cardsOver 5.5 51%✕
Home cardsUnder 3.5 60%✓
Away cardsUnder 2.5 54%✓
Total foulsOver 18.5 54%✓
Total shots on targetOver 6.5 57%✕

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.