UEFA Nations League

BulgariaВПППП
—
EstoniaПНППП
1Bulgaria68%model1.47
XDraw24%model4.09
2Estonia8%model13.14

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:07, 187 мс

Outcome

Bulgaria68%
Draw24%
Estonia8%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Model take on Bulgaria vs Estonia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Bulgaria: a home win is rated at 68%.

Most likely scorelines:…

The rest of the take is for subscribers

See plansSign in

What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Recent matches

Bulgaria

WLLLL
  • homeGeorgia2:1
  • awayTurkey0:2
  • awaySpain0:4
  • homeTurkey1:6
  • awayGeorgia0:3

Estonia

LDLLL
  • awayNorway1:4
  • homeMoldova1:1
  • homeItaly1:3
  • awayItaly0:5
  • homeNorway0:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

This section unlocks subscribers — from $3 a week

See plansSign in

Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Болгария vs Эстония: prediction and stats — VARstats