All matches

Armenia — Cyprus, UEFA Nations League: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

UEFA Nations League

1.3DLLWL
  
1.5WWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%30%33%
Armenia37%Draw30%Cyprus33%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model and second estimate

Our probability next to the second estimate — independent, with no mark-up. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelSecond estimateΔ
1Armenia37%——
XDraw30%——
2Cyprus33%——

our modelsecond estimate — independent, no mark-up

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the second estimate.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

No48%

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the second estimate.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ArmeniaCyprus

Armenia 37%, Cyprus 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

Armenia 37%Draw 30%Cyprus 33%
1st half
34 · 40 · 26
2nd half
31 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricArmeniaCyprusCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Armenia
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 0:2, 2:3, 2:0, 1:9
Cyprus

Nothing unusual in recent matches.

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Armenia

  • awayMontenegro0:0
  • awayCyprus0:2
  • homeMontenegro2:3
  • homeLatvia2:0
  • awayPortugal1:9

Cyprus

  • homeLatvia2:1
  • homeArmenia2:0
  • awayLatvia0:0
  • awayMontenegro1:2
  • homeAustria0:2

Head to head

  • 10/02/26UEFA Nations League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
17Italy42118:57
18Belarus42115:27
19Cyprus42115:37
20Slovenia42115:37
21Malta32104:27
22Hungary42113:27
23Belgium42026:56
24Estonia41302:16
25Denmark42027:76
27Germany41213:25
28Azerbaijan31202:15
29Kosovo41213:45
30Poland41127:44
31Lithuania31113:24
32Faroe Islands40405:54
33Armenia41124:54
34Bulgaria41123:54
35Scotland41123:54

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the second estimate on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.