UEFA Nations League

IcelandПВНПП
—
EstoniaПНППП
1Iceland97%model1.03bookmaker1.32
XDraw3%model39.37bookmaker5.46
2Estonia1%model133.33bookmaker11.30

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:07, 416 мс

Outcome

Iceland97%
Draw3%
Estonia1%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Iceland vs Estonia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Iceland: a home win is rated at 97%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Iceland

LWDLL
  • awayUkraine0:2
  • awayAzerbaijan2:0
  • homeFrance2:2
  • homeUkraine3:5
  • awayFrance1:2

Estonia

LDLLL
  • awayNorway1:4
  • homeMoldova1:1
  • homeItaly1:3
  • awayItaly0:5
  • homeNorway0:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Исландия vs Эстония: prediction and stats — VARstats