UEFA Nations League

BulgariaВПППП
LuxembourgВВППП
1Bulgaria34%model2.90bookmaker2.31
XDraw34%model2.91bookmaker3.19
2Luxembourg31%model3.21bookmaker3.52
calculated at 21:08, 400 мс

Outcome

Bulgaria34%
Draw34%
Luxembourg31%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Bulgaria vs Luxembourg

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Bulgaria: a home win is rated at 34%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Bulgaria

WLLLL
  • homeGeorgia2:1
  • awayTurkey0:2
  • awaySpain0:4
  • homeTurkey1:6
  • awayGeorgia0:3

Luxembourg

WWLLL
  • homeMalta3:0
  • awayMalta2:0
  • awayNorthern Ireland0:1
  • homeGermany0:2
  • awaySlovakia0:2

Head to headscore from the perspective of Bulgaria

  • 11/15/24away · UEFA Nations League1:0W
  • 10/12/24home · UEFA Nations League0:0D

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Болгария vs Люксембург: prediction and stats — VARstats