Deportivo Tarma vs Cienciano: result 2:1
Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Cienciano 40%, Deportivo Tarma 34%, draw 25%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedCienciano40%
Actual: Deportivo Tarma — we had 34%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.554%
- Both teams to score LandedYes55%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Deportivo Tarma
- homeUCV Moquegua2:0
- awayAtletico Grau1:1
- awayLos Chankas1:2
- homeCajamarca0:0
- homeCienciano2:1
Cienciano
- homeAtletico Grau3:0
- awayComerciantes Unidos1:3
- homeUT Cajamarca1:0
- awayUCV Moquegua2:0
- homeLos Chankas1:1
Head to head
- 09/23/26Primera División2:1
- 04/03/26Primera División2:3
- 07/19/25Primera División1:0
- 02/09/25Primera División2:2
- 07/21/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


