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Deportivo Tarma vs Cienciano: result 2:1

Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Cienciano 40%, Deportivo Tarma 34%, draw 25%.

2:1HT 0:1
2.2WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%25%40%
Deportivo TarmaPrice 3.2634%DrawPrice 3.5425%CiencianoPrice 2.0440%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.26xG0.96
46Possession, %54
14Shots12
5Shots on target2
4Corners7
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
9Fouls19
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 130 of 186void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Cienciano40%

    Actual: Deportivo Tarma — we had 34%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.554%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Deportivo Tarma34%28%2.903.26+6.4
XDraw25%26%3.953.54-0.3
2Cienciano40%46%2.492.04-6.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Deportivo Tarma

  • homeUCV Moquegua2:0
  • awayAtletico Grau1:1
  • awayLos Chankas1:2
  • homeCajamarca0:0
  • homeCienciano2:1

Cienciano

  • homeAtletico Grau3:0
  • awayComerciantes Unidos1:3
  • homeUT Cajamarca1:0
  • awayUCV Moquegua2:0
  • homeLos Chankas1:1

Head to head

  • 09/23/26Primera División2:1
  • 04/03/26Primera División2:3
  • 07/19/25Primera División1:0
  • 02/09/25Primera División2:2
  • 07/21/24Primera División1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Cusco321631346:4451
6Sporting Cristal321551262:4750
7Cienciano311551153:4350
9Sport Huancayo321451346:4847
10Los Chankas321381139:5147
11Sport Boys311281135:3344
12Juan Pablo II321181347:5741
13Comerciantes Unidos318111242:4535
14Atletico Grau32971629:4134
15Deportivo Tarma31791533:4530
16UCV Moquegua32781725:4629
17Cajamarca32771844:6528

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.