Omonia 29 Maiou 1:2 AEK Larnaca, First Division: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsOmonia 29 Maiou3-4-3—AEK Larnaca4-2-3-1
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Omonia 29 Maiou3-4-3
Coach: Fangio Buyse
Starting XI
98GKFrancis Uzoho
14DF
Henry Bates Andreou19DF
Juan Portales30DF
Matej Senić8MFCharalambos Aristotelous16MF
Konstantinos Pattichis44DFDimitris Chantakias
20MF
Sotiris Fiakas17MFPanagiotis Zachariou10MFMike Morais11FWFergus Tierney
Substitutes
43GK
Antonis Mavrantonis1GKNikolaos Grammatikakis15DF
Stelios Panteli4DF
Alexandros Kaiafas24DFAngelos Vyntra46DFModestos Sotiriou6MFRushit Zeka5MFStavros Tsoukalas
77MFLuís Santos
26FWMarios Antoniou21FWGeorgios Sokos
AEK Larnaca4-2-3-1
Coach: Ruben Selles
Starting XI
92GKAlberto Paleari
21MF
Jorge Miramón15DFHrvoje Miličević
3DFMike Van der Hoorn
17DF
Kostas Pileas23DFSven Köhler
7MFGus Ledes
14MFAmor Layouni
28FWKerim Mrabti
10MFYerson Chacón
33FWNicolas Andereggen
Substitutes
51GK
Andreas Paraskevas5DF
Brian Oliván22DFGodswill Ekpolo
44DF
Zacharias Adoni2DF
Petros Ioannou20MFJan Repas
6MFIvan Chavdarov Pankov29MF
Giorgos Naoum9MF
Đorđe Ivanović25MF
Chambos Kyriakou11FWRiad Bajić
19FWAtanas Trică
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedAEK Larnaca79%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.564%
- Both teams to score MissedNo54%
Actual: Yes — we had 46%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Omonia 29 Maiou
- homeNea Salamis Famagusta1:0
- awayAPOEL1:4
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta1:0
- awayAEL Limassol1:2
- homeAEK Larnaca1:2
AEK Larnaca
- awayKrasava Ypsonas2:2
- homeOmonia2:0
- awayAris Limassol1:1
- homeOmonia Aradippou1:0
- awayOmonia 29 Maiou2:1
Head to head
- 09/18/26First Division1:2
- 03/02/25First Division0:2
- 12/01/24First Division1:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Cyprus, First Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


