Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
—
Al Riyadh — Al Qadisiyah, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Riyadh
1.2WDLWD
Al Qadisiyah
3.5DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
13%18%70%
Al Riyadh13%Draw18%Al Qadisiyah70%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Riyadh7.88—
XDraw5.69—
2Al Qadisiyah1.43—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl RiyadhAl QadisiyahCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.000.830.83
Corners10.57.08.8
Cards2.03.55.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al RiyadhAl Qadisiyah
Al Riyadh SC 13%, Al Quadisiya Al Khubar 70%. The safest is “Al Quadisiya Al Khubar or draw” at 83%.
Al Riyadh SC 13%Draw 18%Al Quadisiya Al Khubar 70%
1st half
22 · 38 · 39
2nd half
20 · 35 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Riyadh
- homeAl Kholood2:0
- awayAl Khaleej0:0
- awayAl Ahli Jeddah0:5
- homeNeom1:0
- awayAl Shabab3:3
Al Qadisiyah
- homeAl Ittifaq3:3
- homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:2
- awayAl Draih2:0
- homeAl Faisaly3:1
- awayNeom2:0
Head to head
- 04/29/26Professional League0:4
- 01/04/26Professional League0:4
- 03/02/25Professional League0:1
- 10/04/24Professional League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Al Ittihad752012:617
Al Ittihad752012:6173
Al Nassr751116:716
Al Nassr751116:7164Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:105Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.