All matches

Al Kholood — Al Qadisiyah, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Kholood
1.4LWDWD
—
Al Qadisiyah
3.5DWWWW
Outcome probability
1477
Al Kholood9%Draw14%Al Qadisiyah77%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Kholood9%17%11.475.91-8.2
XDraw14%21%7.104.80-6.7
2Al Qadisiyah77%69%1.301.44+7.9

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.94book 1.58

No49%

ours 2.06book 2.21

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl KholoodAl QadisiyahCombined
Goals scored1.832.174.00
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners8.78.08.3
Cards2.72.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Al KholoodAl Qadisiyah
    7Table position4
    47.20%Possession57.00%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Al Quadisiya Al Khubar travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 77%. Bookmakers price this at 1.44.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

Al Kholood

  • awayAl Riyadh0:2
  • homeAl Shabab2:1
  • awayAl Feiha2:2
  • homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:1
  • awayAl Draih1:1

Al Qadisiyah

  • homeAl Ittifaq3:3
  • homeAl Ahli Jeddah3:2
  • awayAl Draih2:0
  • homeAl Faisaly3:1
  • awayNeom2:0

Head to head

  • 03/07/26Professional League1:4
  • 11/06/25Professional League0:4
  • 05/02/25Professional League1:4
  • 12/06/24Professional League0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Al Ittihad752012:617
3Al Nassr751116:716
4Al Qadisiyah751116:816
5Neom750213:615
6Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
7Al Kholood733112:1012
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.