All matches

Al Riyadh — Al Taawon, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Riyadh
1.2WDLWD
—
Al Taawon
1.8LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%25%41%
Al Riyadh33%Draw25%Al Taawon41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Riyadh33%3.00—
XDraw25%3.96—
2Al Taawon41%2.41—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl RiyadhAl TaawonCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.831.172.00
Corners9.311.710.5
Cards2.31.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al RiyadhAl Taawon

Al Riyadh SC 33%, Al Taawon FC 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Riyadh SC 33%Draw 25%Al Taawon FC 41%
1st half
31 · 40 · 29
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Riyadh

  • homeAl Kholood2:0
  • awayAl Khaleej0:0
  • awayAl Ahli Jeddah0:5
  • homeNeom1:0
  • awayAl Shabab3:3

Al Taawon

  • homeAl Hilal0:6
  • awayAl Hazm0:1
  • homeAl Fateh0:0
  • awayAl Nassr1:2
  • homeAl Feiha0:0

Head to head

  • 05/15/26Professional League1:1
  • 01/18/26Professional League1:3
  • 05/20/25Professional League2:3
  • 01/21/25Professional League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123
18Abha70255:132

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.