Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.94
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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Al Draih — Al Riyadh, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Draih
2.0DWLWD
Al Riyadh
1.2WDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%25%18%
Al Draih57%Draw25%Al Riyadh18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Draih1.76—
XDraw4.04—
2Al Riyadh5.45—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl DraihAl RiyadhCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners9.39.59.4
Cards1.52.54.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al DraihAl Riyadh
Al Draih 57%, Al Riyadh SC 18%. The safest is “Al Draih or draw” at 81%.
Al Draih 57%Draw 25%Al Riyadh SC 18%
1st half
43 · 40 · 17
2nd half
35 · 41 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Draih
- homeAbha0:0
- awayAl Fateh2:1
- homeAl Qadisiyah0:2
- awayAl Ittifaq3:0
- homeAl Kholood1:1
Al Riyadh
- homeAl Kholood2:0
- awayAl Khaleej0:0
- awayAl Ahli Jeddah0:5
- homeNeom1:0
- awayAl Shabab3:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613
Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:105Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.