All matches

Al Feiha — Al Riyadh, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Feiha
1.4DLDWD
—
Al Riyadh
1.2WDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%26%29%
Al FeihaMarket 2.1245%DrawMarket 3.3426%Al RiyadhMarket 3.3429%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Feiha45%47%2.202.12-1.8
XDraw26%30%3.873.34-4.1
2Al Riyadh29%30%3.473.34-1.1

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77book 1.73

No43%

ours 2.30book 1.98

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl FeihaAl RiyadhCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded1.502.003.50
Corners9.010.79.8
Cards0.81.82.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al FeihaAl Riyadh

Al Feiha 45%, Al Riyadh SC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Al Feiha 45%Draw 26%Al Riyadh SC 29%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30

Bookmakers: 2.12 · 3.34 · 3.34

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

70%1.29
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Feiha

  • awayAl Shabab0:0
  • awayAl Ittihad1:2
  • homeAl Kholood2:2
  • homeAbha3:2
  • awayAl Taawon0:0

Al Riyadh

  • homeAl Kholood2:0
  • awayAl Khaleej0:0
  • awayAl Ahli Jeddah0:5
  • homeNeom1:0
  • awayAl Shabab3:3

Head to head

  • 05/04/26Professional League4:2
  • 01/10/26Professional League1:1
  • 02/26/25Professional League0:0
  • 09/29/24Professional League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.