All matches

Al Hazm — Al Fateh, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Hazm
1.8LWDDL
—
Al Fateh
1.3LLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%25%29%
Al Hazm46%Draw25%Al Fateh29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Hazm46%2.17—
XDraw25%3.97—
2Al Fateh29%3.48—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69

No41%

ours 2.46

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl HazmAl FatehCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners10.011.210.6
Cards2.42.24.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al HazmAl Fateh

Al Hazm 46%, Al Fateh SC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Hazm 46%Draw 25%Al Fateh SC 29%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
31 · 37 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Al Hazm

  • awayAl Ahli Jeddah1:3
  • homeAl Taawon1:0
  • awayAl Faisaly0:0
  • homeAl Shabab1:1
  • awayAl Ittihad2:3

Al Fateh

  • awayNeom2:4
  • homeAl Draih1:2
  • awayAl Taawon0:0
  • homeAl Ittihad0:0
  • awayAl Faisaly1:1

Head to head

  • 02/01/26Professional League1:1
  • 09/20/25Professional League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Al Draih73227:511
9Al Ittifaq732211:1111
10Al Hazm72237:98
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.