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Zamora 1:3 Metropolitanos, Primera División: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Venezuela, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

1.3LLLLL
1:3HT 0:2
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
25%29%46%
ZamoraPrice 3.2225%DrawPrice 3.0029%MetropolitanosPrice 2.1546%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.29xG1.87
53Possession, %47
20Shots15
8Shots on target8
6Corners4
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
16Fouls10
3Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 72 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Metropolitanos46%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.557%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 43%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No51%

    Actual: Yes — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zamora25%27%3.953.22-2.1
XDraw29%30%3.473.00-0.8
2Metropolitanos46%43%2.182.15+3.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Zamora

  • homeAcademia Anzoategui1:2
  • awayCaracas1:4
  • homeMetropolitanos1:3
  • awayMonagas0:1
  • homeTrujillanos1:2

Metropolitanos

  • homePortuguesa0:0
  • awayDeportivo La Guaira2:2
  • awayEstudiantes de Merida2:2
  • homeRayo Zuliano4:0
  • awayZamora3:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Primera División1:3
  • 04/11/26Primera División0:0
  • 08/16/25Primera División1:0
  • 03/09/25Primera División0:0
  • 08/07/24Primera División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Deportivo Tachira35218660:3571
2Metropolitanos341910554:3067
3Carabobo351613656:3261
4Academia Puerto Cabello3614111146:3853
5Deportivo La Guaira341313845:3452
6Portuguesa341114941:3647
8Estudiantes de Merida321171438:4240
9Caracas298111034:3835
10Monagas29951535:4532
11Rayo Zuliano26831532:5127
12Zamora26671326:4125
13Trujillanos26461623:4618
14Academia Anzoategui26451723:4717

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.