Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.10
All matches
Deportivo La Guaira — Portuguesa, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Deportivo La Guaira
2.4LDLLL
Portuguesa
2.0LDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%26%17%
Deportivo La Guaira57%Draw26%Portuguesa17%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo La Guaira1.77—
XDraw3.81—
2Portuguesa5.81—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo La GuairaPortuguesa
Deportivo La Guaira 57%, Portuguesa FC 17%. The safest is “Deportivo La Guaira or draw” at 84%.
Deportivo La Guaira 57%Draw 26%Portuguesa FC 17%
1st half
40 · 41 · 18
2nd half
49 · 36 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 21.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo La GuairaPortuguesaCombined
Goals scored0.600.801.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Deportivo La Guaira- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.7 per match14 teams in the league
- Winless in 5 matches1:2, 0:0, 2:4, 0:1, 0:2
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Portuguesa- Winless away in 5 matches0:0, 1:2, 0:2, 1:1, 0:0
- 13 draws in 33 matches — most in the league6th place, 46 points
- One win in the last 5 matches1:2, 0:0, 0:0, 1:2, 2:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Deportivo La Guaira
- homeTrujillanos1:2
- awayPortuguesa0:0
- homeDeportivo Tachira2:4
- awayCarabobo0:1
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela0:2
Portuguesa
- homeCarabobo1:2
- awayUniversidad Central de Venezuela0:0
- homeDeportivo La Guaira0:0
- awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:2
- homeEstudiantes de Merida2:1
Head to head
- 10/10/26Primera División0:0
- 05/23/26Primera División2:0
- 05/09/26Primera División1:1
- 04/20/26Primera División0:0
- 08/31/25Primera División3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Carabobo341513652:3158
Carabobo341513652:31584
Academia Puerto Cabello341411946:3653
Academia Puerto Cabello341411946:36535
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:2951
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:29516
Portuguesa331113941:3546
Portuguesa331113941:35467
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:4345
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:43458
Estudiantes de Merida321171438:4240
Estudiantes de Merida321171438:4240Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.