Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
Academia Puerto Cabello — Deportivo Tachira, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Academia Puerto Cabello
2.4DWWDL
Deportivo Tachira
3.0DWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%29%39%
Academia Puerto Cabello32%Draw29%Deportivo Tachira39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Academia Puerto Cabello3.14—
XDraw3.43—
2Deportivo Tachira2.57—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Academia Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira
Academia Puerto Cabello 32%, Deportivo Táchira FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.
Academia Puerto Cabello 32%Draw 29%Deportivo Táchira FC 39%
1st half
29 · 44 · 26
2nd half
28 · 43 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAcademia Puerto CabelloDeportivo TachiraCombined
Goals scored1.402.203.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Academia Puerto Cabello- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- 2.0 goals per game at home7 matches
Deportivo Tachira- Best attack in the league — 55 goals in 32 matches2nd place, 62 points
- Most shots on target in the league — 5.6 per match14 teams in the league
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 4:1, 4:2, 1:1, 0:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Academia Puerto Cabello
- homeMonagas3:3
- awayTrujillanos1:0
- homePortuguesa2:1
- awayDeportivo Tachira1:1
- homeCarabobo0:2
Deportivo Tachira
- awayCarabobo2:2
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela4:1
- awayDeportivo La Guaira4:2
- homeAcademia Puerto Cabello1:1
- awayEstudiantes de Merida0:2
Head to head
- 09/15/26Primera División1:1
- 04/04/26Primera División1:2
- 09/21/25Primera División0:0
- 06/07/25Primera División0:2
- 05/03/25Primera División1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Metropolitanos32198552:2865
Metropolitanos32198552:28652
Deportivo Tachira32188655:3462
Deportivo Tachira32188655:34623
Carabobo331413650:3055
Carabobo331413650:30554
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:2951
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:29515
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:3550
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:35506
Portuguesa321113840:3346
Portuguesa321113840:33467
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:4345
Universidad Central de Venezuela321291145:4345Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.