All matches

Zalaegerszeg — Kisvarda, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Zalaegerszeg
1.7LWLLL
—
Kisvarda
1.6LWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%27%27%
Zalaegerszeg46%Draw27%Kisvarda27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zalaegerszeg46%2.16—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Kisvarda27%3.77—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.17

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZalaegerszegKisvardaCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners8.813.010.9
Cards1.81.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZalaegerszegKisvarda

Zalaegerszegi TE 46%, Kisvárda Master Good SE 27%. The safest is “Zalaegerszegi TE or draw” at 74%.

Zalaegerszegi TE 46%Draw 27%Kisvárda Master Good SE 27%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zalaegerszeg

  • awayUjpest1:2
  • homePuskas Akademia1:0
  • awayKispest-Honved0:1
  • awayETO Gyor0:3
  • homeFerencvaros0:1

Kisvarda

  • homePaks0:1
  • awayMTK Budapest2:1
  • homeETO Gyor1:1
  • homeDebrecen0:0
  • awayNyiregyhaza Spartacus1:2

Head to head

  • 04/04/26NB I2:0
  • 12/14/25NB I3:3
  • 08/30/25NB I1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Paks832316:1711
7MTK Budapest823315:149
8Kisvarda82339:109
9Debrecen823312:159
10Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
11Kispest-Honved713311:146
12Zalaegerszeg82067:176

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.