All matches

Zalaegerszeg — Nyiregyhaza Spartacus, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Zalaegerszeg
1.7LWLLL
—
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.6DLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%27%31%
ZalaegerszegMarket 2.6742%DrawMarket 3.2527%Nyiregyhaza SpartacusMarket 2.2931%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zalaegerszeg42%37%2.372.67+4.7
XDraw27%31%3.753.25-4.1
2Nyiregyhaza Spartacus31%44%3.212.29-12.5

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75book 1.59

No43%

ours 2.33book 2.19

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZalaegerszegNyiregyhaza SpartacusCombined
Goals scored0.331.171.50
Conceded2.001.503.50
Corners8.79.79.2
Cards1.83.35.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZalaegerszegNyiregyhaza Spartacus

Zalaegerszegi TE 42%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus FC 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Zalaegerszegi TE 42%Draw 27%Nyíregyháza Spartacus FC 31%
1st half
32 · 41 · 27
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30

Bookmakers: 2.67 · 3.25 · 2.29

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%1.35
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Zalaegerszeg

  • awayUjpest1:2
  • homePuskas Akademia1:0
  • awayKispest-Honved0:1
  • awayETO Gyor0:3
  • homeFerencvaros0:1

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

  • homeFerencvaros1:1
  • awayVasas2:3
  • homePaks1:1
  • awayMTK Budapest1:2
  • homeKisvarda2:1

Head to head

  • 04/25/26NB I1:2
  • 02/01/26NB I0:1
  • 10/04/25NB I1:3
  • 05/25/25NB I0:0
  • 03/01/25NB I0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Kisvarda82339:109
9Debrecen823312:159
10Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
11Kispest-Honved713311:146
12Zalaegerszeg82067:176

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.