All matches

Debrecen — Zalaegerszeg, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Debrecen
1.9LWDDD
—
Zalaegerszeg
1.7LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%26%25%
Debrecen49%Draw26%Zalaegerszeg25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Debrecen49%2.03—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Zalaegerszeg25%4.03—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.37

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDebrecenZalaegerszegCombined
Goals scored1.500.331.83
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners14.67.611.1
Cards2.21.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

DebrecenZalaegerszeg

Debreceni VSC 49%, Zalaegerszegi TE 25%. The safest is “Debreceni VSC or draw” at 75%.

Debreceni VSC 49%Draw 26%Zalaegerszegi TE 25%
1st half
37 · 40 · 24
2nd half
38 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Debrecen

  • homeVasas2:4
  • awayPaks4:2
  • homeMTK Budapest2:2
  • awayKisvarda0:0
  • homeETO Gyor1:1

Zalaegerszeg

  • awayUjpest1:2
  • homePuskas Akademia1:0
  • awayKispest-Honved0:1
  • awayETO Gyor0:3
  • homeFerencvaros0:1

Head to head

  • 02/22/26NB I1:1
  • 11/02/25NB I2:1
  • 07/26/25NB I3:3
  • 04/19/25NB I4:3
  • 12/14/24NB I1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7MTK Budapest823315:149
8Kisvarda82339:109
9Debrecen823312:159
10Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
11Kispest-Honved713311:146
12Zalaegerszeg82067:176

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.