Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: result 0:1
Germany, BundesligaMatch finished
Final score 0:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Borussia Dortmund 42%, Stuttgart 35%, draw 24%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedBorussia Dortmund42%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.566%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 34%
- Both teams to score MissedYes68%
Actual: No — we had 32%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Stuttgart
- awayBayer Leverkusen4:2
- homeBorussia Monchengladbach2:3
- homeAtletico Madrid1:1
- awayHamburger SV0:1
- awaySlovan Bratislava3:0
Borussia Dortmund
- awayBayern Munich2:2
- homeEintracht Frankfurt1:0
- awaySabah2:1
- awayUnion Berlin0:0
- awayBodo/Glimt0:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Bundesliga0:1
- 04/04/26Bundesliga0:2
- 11/22/25Bundesliga3:3
- 02/08/25Bundesliga2:1
- 09/22/24Bundesliga5:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Germany, Bundesliga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.