Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.53
All matches
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Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV, Bundesliga
Germany, Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.1DWLDD
Hamburger SV
1.9WLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%24%22%
Eintracht Frankfurt54%Draw24%Hamburger SV22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Eintracht Frankfurt1.87—
XDraw4.11—
2Hamburger SV4.52—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEintracht FrankfurtHamburger SVCombined
Goals scored1.000.331.33
Conceded1.171.833.00
Corners10.010.310.2
Cards1.71.73.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt 54%, Hamburger SV 22%. The safest is “Eintracht Frankfurt or draw” at 78%.
Eintracht Frankfurt 54%Draw 24%Hamburger SV 22%
1st half
47 · 34 · 19
2nd half
36 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Eintracht Frankfurt
- homeFreiburg2:2
- awayMainz 053:1
- homeAugsburg1:4
- awayUnion Berlin3:3
- homeStuttgart2:2
Hamburger SV
- homeKoln2:1
- awayRB Leipzig0:5
- homeMainz 050:5
- awayBorussia Dortmund0:2
- awayBayer Leverkusen1:1
Head to head
- 05/02/26Bundesliga1:2
- 12/20/25Bundesliga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Werder Bremen42118:87
Werder Bremen42118:879
RB Leipzig42029:56
RB Leipzig42029:5610Eintracht Frankfurt41219:105
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:10511
Schalke 0441213:45
Schalke 0441213:4512
Paderborn41123:54
Paderborn41123:5413
Koln41126:94
Koln41126:9414
Hoffenheim41037:103
Hoffenheim41037:10315
Stuttgart41036:93
Stuttgart41036:9316Hamburger SV41032:133
Hamburger SV41032:13317
Union Berlin40134:171
Union Berlin40134:17118
Borussia Monchengladbach40046:160
Borussia Monchengladbach40046:160Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.