Both teams to score
Yes67%
ours 1.50price 1.35
No33%
ours 2.99price 2.98
All matches
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction
VARStats prediction for 7 November: Bayern Munich 70%, draw 16%, Mainz 05 13%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
13%16%70%
Mainz 05Price 6.2613%DrawPrice 5.7016%Bayern MunichPrice 1.4770%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Mainz 057.556.26-2.2
XDraw6.115.70-0.6
2Bayern Munich1.421.47+2.8
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Mainz 05Bayern Munich
1. FSV Mainz 05 13%, FC Bayern München 70%. The safest is “FC Bayern München or draw” at 87%.
1. FSV Mainz 05 13%Draw 16%FC Bayern München 70%
1st half
21 · 31 · 48
2nd half
14 · 28 · 58
Prices: 6.26 · 5.70 · 1.47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Away
70%1.47
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMainz 05Bayern MunichCombined
Goals scored2.203.205.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Mainz 05- Winless at home in 7 matches2:3, 3:4, 1:3, 0:0, 1:3
- 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:4, 2:3, 1:0, 3:4, 4:3
- 8 days’ rest vs 4 for the opponent
Bayern Munich- Unbeaten in 15 matches2:2, 3:1, 2:2, 6:1, 3:3
- 16 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 3:1, 2:2, 6:1, 3:3
- Unbeaten away in 6 matches3:1, 3:3, 2:2, 2:1, 0:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Mainz 05
- awayElversberg1:4
- homeWerder Bremen2:3
- awaySchalke 041:0
- homeBayer Leverkusen3:4
- awayBorussia Monchengladbach4:3
Bayern Munich
- homeBorussia Dortmund2:2
- awayFreiburg3:1
- homeArsenal2:2
- homeRB Leipzig6:1
- awayViking3:3
Head to head
- 04/25/26Bundesliga3:4
- 12/14/25Bundesliga2:2
- 04/26/25Bundesliga0:3
- 12/14/24Bundesliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Germany, Bundesliga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.