All matches

Vejle Boldklub — Hobro, 1st Division

Denmark, 1st Division

  
1.5DLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
62%22%15%
Vejle Boldklub62%Draw22%Hobro15%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vejle Boldklub62%1.60—
XDraw22%4.48—
2Hobro15%6.50—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.37

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Vejle BoldklubHobro

Vejle Boldklub 62%, Hobro IK 15%. The safest is “Vejle Boldklub or draw” at 85%.

Vejle Boldklub 62%Draw 22%Hobro IK 15%
1st half
54 · 30 · 16
2nd half
45 · 33 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVejle BoldklubHobroCombined
Goals scored0.801.001.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Vejle Boldklub
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 1:0, 1:2, 2:2, 0:0
  • Best attack in the league — 24 goals in 12 matches2nd place, 23 points
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 1:0, 1:2, 2:2, 0:0
Hobro
  • Winless in 7 matches2:2, 0:3, 1:1, 2:5, 0:0
  • Fewest shots in the league — 10.0 per match12 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Vejle Boldklub

  • homeAarhus Fremad0:0
  • awayAalborg BK1:0
  • homeHvidovre1:2
  • awayFC Fredericia2:2
  • awayHobro0:0

Hobro

  • homeVendsyssel2:2
  • awayFC Fredericia0:3
  • homeKolding1:1
  • awayHB Koge2:5
  • homeVejle Boldklub0:0

Head to head

  • 09/11/261st Division0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hvidovre1284023:1228
2Vejle Boldklub1265124:1523
3FC Fredericia1255218:820
4AB1253417:1218
5Aarhus Fremad1236310:1115
6Hobro1243515:2215
7Aalborg BK1235415:1714
8Kolding1226413:1512

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.